C: So, is the future green for automobiles?
T: Sure, cars need to consume less and reduce
their emissions drastically. The
recession is pushing towards a general
downsizing in manufacturing, meaning that
cars will be smaller and less expensive. Big
automotive groups must come up with a
way for the industry to make money with
this type of product. Until 2007, every
model was replaced by another one that
was longer, wider and heavier. From 2008,
there has been a reversal of that trend.
Cars have become more compact, but
without reducing interior capacity. Performance
levels are still acceptable and
design is now a key factor. Small cars are no longer fallback solutions but intelligent
buys. Volkswagen, for example, only
made minimal cars to offer customers an
entry-level purchase. But for a while now,
it has been developing the Up family of
small cars. They have style, flexibility and
can be equipped with powerful motors.
The aim is to produce millions of Up! series
cars, and this is a big break from their
traditional approach.
C: What is the most promising type
of fuel?
T: There are two main lines of research:
optimise traditional fuels, or make cars
electric. The latter is considered the
real challenge of the future. Developing
electric cars involves many newcomers
– entrepreneurs from other fields, especially
from information technologies and
Internet. Much hope is invested in them,
because these fields are more likely to
produce ground-breaking innovations than
the conservative auto industry.
C: Is Tesla Motors part of this new
frontier?
T: Tesla is a Californian company that already
produces and sells an electric roadster. It’s
a project by a group of investors including
Tesla’s chief executive Elon Musk, a South
African who was one of the founders of
PayPal, the Internet payment system. Their
vehicle is based on an intelligent consideration:
because batteries are still expensive,
especially lithium-ion batteries, their
cost would weigh disproportionately on
an economy car. Instead, they used the
frame of a Lotus, which is known to be
a particularly light car, and they fitted it
with a motor driven by over 100 small batteries.
Its performance is remarkable.
C: Somewhat of an instant cult object?
T: That’s right. Its success was awarded with
a 10 per cent investment in the company
by Daimler (parent of Mercedes-Benz). The
partnership will help Tesla come out with
an all-electric sedan by 2011. The Model S,
as it is called, is big enough to carry five
adults and fit two children in rear-facing
seats in the trunk. The Tesla models are
quite beautiful. I share the design’s underlying
vision that the first mass-produced
all-electric car should not be a Fiat Panda
or 600, but a vehicle for people who are
tired of showing up in a Ferrari because
they consider it old hat. Tesla is a startup
company, so it’s still early to express
judgment on its cars’ dependability, but
they are meeting with success, especially
in places like California.
C: Is there sufficient market response
to justify all the investments?
T: I would say so. The interest is strong, and
growing every day. J apan is at the forefront
with hybrid cars. The new Toyota
Prius received 80,000 orders in the first
week. The car’s chief designer is an Italian,
Elvio D’Aprile. He’s from Abruzzi and used
to work for Pininfarina.
C: And what does he say about the
splash of ugliness that the Prius
continues to drag around as its
unmistakable trademark?
T: He says that it’s unfortunate but indispensable,
because the car needs to have
a number of compulsory aerodynamic elements.
It’s a result of Toyota’s wish to
develop a car that is stridently different
from others. Shiro Nakamura, the designer
at Nissan working on an all-electric vehicle
expected for 2011, believes that even electric
cars need to look good. In any case,
this year Toyota’s Prius and Honda’s Insight are both starting to show excellent sales
figures. Other manufacturers are ready to
invest, too. Mercedes made the S-Class
hybrid, but it’s very bland. I think consumers
can see the real nature of these automobiles.
Lexus, for example, didn’t have
much success with its SUV hybrid.
C: The introduction of electric vehicles
on a large scale would
require certain infrastructural
investments. Is anything happening
in Italy?
T: There are two large projects. One is by
the Enel utility company in collaboration
with Daimler. Enel will build a network of
400 recharging stations in Milan, Pisa and
Rome, and Daimler will supply 100 electric
Smart Fortwos. Testing is scheduled
to begin in 2010. The other initiative is by
the A2A utility company and Renault to
build recharging stations in Milan. Sooner
or later all the necessary structures will
be built, because utility companies see big
business in electric cars. That was not the
case with methane gas. Everybody is looking
to the electric car as a way to increase
their customer base.
C: In order to sell electricity?
T: Yes. The car has a chip. Before recharging,
the car’s owner is recognised. The
amount of electricity tapped is billed to
the owner’s home. Of course people will
want to be clients of the best company.
Also, this is a type of business that makes
electrical companies feel very trendy, redeeming
them in the eyes of eco-sensitive
consumers. These companies are used to
being portrayed as major culprits of environmental
damage. Now they’ll be able
to say (especially Enel) that all electricity
for recharging automobiles comes from
renewable sources. They are undoubtedly
working hard on this and investing large
sums of money.
C: So do you believe things are really
happening in the industry of
sustainable cars, or is it still trying
to get off the ground?
T: There’s the feeling that something important
is about to dawn, and above all, the
awareness that the race is on, and whoever
isn’t in the game will lose out. There
might be different opinions on timing. Fiat
and Volkswagen say that electric cars still
need four or five years. Renault and others
say that they are already in the final phase,
and will begin selling dependable electric
vehicles by the end of 2010. Investment
in battery research is also moving forward,
particularly in countries that have
been having automotive difficulties over
the past years, like the US. Then there
are less known (but not less aggressive)
manufacturers – China and K orea – who
are forging ahead with new battery types
because they have the know-how. They
are the ones currently making lithium batteries
for everyone.
C: Are we at a point of no return?
T: Yes. Insertion will be progressive, starting
perhaps with small fleets controlled by
companies for their employees. Gradually,
the numbers will increase, but hardly by
50 per cent over a few years. However, I
think electric cars will become significant
soon enough, maybe with new types of
purchase, like renting with an included
maintenance guarantee, which would be
interesting for customers because the
technology is still unfamiliar.
C: Has the urgency to find sustainable
solutions accelerated the
research and development in automotive
industry?
T: Definitely. At the start of 2009, first the
USA, then Europe realised that the hydrogen
solution was still too far away. Hydrogen
is now seen as a long-term project
requiring a different level of funding. This
is how most of clean car-propulsion research
went from hydrogen to electricity
in the past year.
C: In this sense the automotive industry’s
reaction could also be
seen as an attempt to boost sales
and defend itself against other
types of mobility. As for sustainable
mobility, the most difficult
challenge is finding an alternative
to the automobile.
T: Some people predict a variety of scenarios
for the future of mobility, not just four
wheels, but three, two or even one. The
former world chief of Peugeot sustained
that manufacturers like him needed to
work on improving the motor scooter.
People will go back to using the scooter
for short distances; the sacredness of the
car is waning; youngsters are no longer
so interested. That’s
a healthy, “non-religious”
way of thinking
that could produce
concrete and innovative
solutions.
C: What is the next
deadline? Any big
dates?
T: The Frankfurt Motor
Show (15-27 September
2009) will feature
state-of-the-art sustainable
vehicles, and
electric cars will be the major focus. Mitsubishi
will also be bringing out an electric
car soon. And don’t forget that Panasonic
is now the world’s largest automobile motor
producer. I’d say we’re looking at an
epoch-making change. Electric cars don’t
make noise. Imagine them in a city like
Rome, where you get a headache just listening
to the deafening noise of traffic.
C: It is the physical structure of
historical cities (Italy and Europe
are full of such cities) that makes
the air, noise and space pollution
of automobiles such an intolerable
phenomenon.
T: Just think of cars with a surface of five
square metres instead of ten in cities like
ours. It would also be good if taxis and
public transport had compulsory electric
or methane motors. This would drastically
improve the quality of air and life in cities.
Sustainable mobility #4: Adam’s Car in Paradise
Stefano Casciani talks to Mauro Tedeschini, editor-in-chief of Quattroruote magazine, about the future of green cars.
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- Stefano Casciani
- 02 September 2009
- Milan